Solar 11 Year Cycle 25 Cometh - It's Getting Interesting...
SEE THAT BIG YELLOW THING UP IN THE SKY? IT'S OUR EARTH'S FURNACE, AND OUR THERMOSTAT IS NOT CONSTANT. SOLAR HEAT IS COMMONLY MEASURED BY THE COUNTING OF SUN SPOTS, A VISUAL INDICATOR TO JUST HOW "ANGRY" THE SUN IS AT ANY GIVEN TIME. HOT PEAKS ARE CHARACTERIZED BY LOTS OF SUN SPOTS AND COLD TROUGHS ARE CHARACTERIZED BY AN ABSENCE OF SUN SPOTS.
Cycle 24 Sun Photos - Left 2013, Right 2019.
*THESE 11 YEAR CYCLES EACH VARY IN INTENSITY OVER TIME, SOMETIMES BEING HOTTER AND SOMETIMES BEING COLDER THAN THE CYCLE PRECEDING IT THIS CAN BE SEEN IN THE VISUAL BELOW.
*THERE IS ALSO A LONGER PATTERN OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN PLAY RELATED TO 11 YEAR CYCLES. THE "NORMAL" PATTERN FOR MULTIPLE 11 YEAR SUNSPOT CYCLES IS TO GROUP INTO PATTERNS OF 3 HEATING CYCLES TO FORM A MAJOR HOT PEAK FOLLOWED BY 3 COOLING CYCLES TO FORM A MAJOR COLD TROUGH. THIS FORMS THE 60 YEAR CYCLE THAT IS WELL DOCUMENTED AS SHOWN IN THE CHART BELOW (AND COVERED IN A SEPARATE BLOG).
*WITHIN OUR LIFETIME, THE SOLAR CYCLES HAVE BEEN TRENDING TOWARDS A PROGRESSIVE WEAKENING IN OVERALL STRENGTH WITH PROJECTIONS FOR CYCLE 25 TO BE EVEN LOWER IN SOLAR INTENSITY THAN PREVIOUS CYCLES. IF SO, WE CAN EXPECT GENERALLY COOLER CONDITIONS.
*HOPEFULLY THIS WILL PLAY OUT IN THE FASHION DEPICTED BELOW WHERE A SMALLER CYCLE 25 WILL DEPRESS EXCESSIVE HEATING AND GENERALLY COOL THE WORLD DOWN. HOPEFULLY THE EXTREMES WILL BE WITHIN OUR ABILITY TO DEAL WITH THEM IN TERMS OF PROVIDING NECESSITIES TO OUR BURGEONING POPULATIONS. HOPEFULLY, FOLLOWING CYCLES (26, 27, 28, ETC.) WILL BE THE "SAME" GIVING SOME KIND OF CONSISTENCY TO OUR CLIMATE THAT WE CAN DEAL WITH.
*BUT.... THE ABSOLUTE WORST CASE SCENARIO FOR THE PRESENT WORLD IS TO RETURN TO A MAUNDER MINIMUM SITUATION WHERE IT GETS REALLY COLD FOR A REALLY LONG TIME BECAUSE OF CONTINUALLY REPEATING MINIMUM CYCLES. WE NOW HAVE TOO MANY PEOPLE WITH TOO LITTLE PREPARATION FOR THIS TO BE TAKEN WITHOUT HUGE DISRUPTION.
AND IS IT HERE? IT APPEARS THAT WE HAVE REACHED THE END OF SOLAR CYCLE AND ARE JUST BEGINNING CYCLE 25 AS OF JANUARY 9,3020. SEE THE ATTACHED ARTICLE.
*THIS ISN'T REALLY FEAR MONGERING. IT HAS HAPPENED BEFORE AND IT HAS HAPPENED MULTIPLE TIMES AS SHOWN IN THE HISTORICAL RECORD BELOW. WE, THE MODERN HUMANS, HAVE JUST NOT LIVED THROUGH ANY OF THESE EXTENDED TIME DEPRESSIONS, AND SO WE REALLY DON'T KNOW WHAT TO EXPECT.
*AND THE LONG RUN? WELL, IT'S JUST TOO FAR AWAY (AROUND 3000 YEARS?) FOR TODAY'S HUMANS TO CONTEMPLATE BUT WHAT WILL HAPPEN WHEN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE RETURNS TO MASSIVE SHEETS OF ICE THAT WILL REFORM AT THE END OF THE PRESENT INTER GLACIAL WARMING PERIOD AND ENTER THE NEXT 100,000 YEAR DEEP FREEZE? I ONLY MENTION THIS PHASE IN ORDER TO EMPHASIZE ONCE AGAIN THAT THE EARTH IS SUBJECT TO REPEATING PATTERNS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND HAS ALWAYS BEEN SUBJECTED TO THESE CHANGES. IT WILL COME IN SPITE OF US.
CONCLUSION - SO, THERE YOU HAVE IT. CYCLE 25 COMETH, 11 YEARS TO LEAD US INTO THE 2030'S WHERE WE COULD ENTER A 60 YEAR CYCLE MAJOR COOLING PERIOD. POSSIBLY THE BEGINNING OF A PROLONGED MASSIVE COOLING PERIOD SIMILAR TO THOSE RECORDED IN GEOLOGIC AND HUMAN RECORDS. TIME SPANS AND GENERATIONAL SHIFTS WILL NOT REALLY MAKE THESE SHIFTS APPARENT AS WE WILL AGE OUT BEFORE REALLY GETTING A CHANCE TO VIEW THEM COME AND GO AND COME AND GO AGAIN AND AGAIN. HISTORY MAY TELL THE STORY - FOR WHATEVER THAT'S WORTH TO A PRESENT POPULACE THAT WANTS THINGS TO GO BACK TO THE WAY THINGS WERE WHEN THEY WERE "BETTER". WE REALLY ARE SILLY LITTLE CREATURES, AREN'T WE?
The Sun - Posted Because of its Beauty
Please note: these images and the discussions surrounding them are easily found on Google. I'm not even going to attempt to make a bibliography because this isn't a scientific paper, it's an opinion piece. If you doubt me go search them out. The exercise is quite revealing.